Senate Control in 2014 Increasingly Looks Like a Tossup

The Phony Public Image
Before the election both parties pretend to the public that
they disagree with each other.

A close 2014 election - But does it matter?

The 2014 elections are coming.  But believers in small Constitutional government should prepare to be disappointed. 

There are some real differences between the parties on issues like guns or abortion.  But when it comes down to the core issues of growing centralized Big Government, spending and building an authoritarian unconstitutional Police Surveillance State, both Liberals and Conservatives eagerly work together.

Taking back the Senate is the major goal of the Republicans.  The G.O.P.’s task will not be easy: the party holds 46 seats in the Senate, and the number will very probably be cut to 45 after a special election in New Jersey later this year. That means that they would need to win a net of six contests from Democrats in order to control 51 seats and overcome Comrade Vice President Joseph Biden's tiebreaking vote.

Two years ago at this time, Republicans faced what seemed to be a promising environment and could have won the Senate by gaining a net of three seats from Democrats and winning the presidency. Instead, Mitt Romney lost to Comrade Obama, and the G.O.P. lost a net of two Senate seats.

A New York Times race-by-race analysis of the Senate, in fact, suggests that Republicans might now be close to even-money to win control of the chamber after next year’s elections.

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After the Election.
Once the votes are cast it becomes bi-partisan party time with both parties coming together to wallow in the mountains of taxpayer provided cash. 
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The real battle in Washington is over which "faction" of society gets to line their pockets with trillions in centralized Big Government spending.  That is why no matter who wins the election not one single dime is ever, ever cut from the Federal budget.  Democrat or GOP, it does not matter, the Marxist re-distribution of the wealth goes on and on. 

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The best guess of the Times, after assigning probabilities of the likelihood of a G.O.P. pickup in each state, is that Republicans will end up with somewhere between 50 and 51 Senate seats after 2014, putting them right on the threshold of a majority.

The chart below reflects the Times current overview of the Senate landscape, including the probability estimates. (The estimates are not based strictly on a formula but instead are best guesses, accounting for the partisan lean of each state, the quality of the prospective candidates, and approval-rating or polling data to the extent that it might be informative.)

In a strong Republican year, the G.O.P. could win all of the tossup and “lean Democratic” seats and pick up one of the “likely Democratic” seats like New Hampshire, which would give them a net gain of nine seats and leave them with a 55-45 majority in the chamber.

In a strong Democratic year, the party could lose only West Virginia and South Dakota – and pick up New Jersey and one of Kentucky and Georgia – and hold their current 54-46 edge.




See more at New York Times.

Liz Cheney & the Slow Death of the Republic.
Increasingly we are seeing more and more politicians like Liz Cheney.  She has spent most of her adult life in her adopted home state of Virginia while working and socializing with the Elite in Washington D.C.  Cheney then moves back to her new "home state" of Wyoming for a few months hoping to become a Senator and then to return to her old home state of Virginia to live full time.
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Hillary Clinton did the same thing in moving to New York to become Senator and then moving right back to Washington.  Countless Congressional staffers have also used their corrupt Beltway connections to raise money to get elected in districts they hardly know any more.  Because of campaign costs, increasingly the centralized money machine of Washington selects and funds the candidates for the people.